What to expect from high-tech market

Olga Uskova, President NAIRIT: - Every year the flow of scientific personnel to work abroad. Every year in professional emigration country to leave about 70 thousand scientists and developers. This is due to a sharp acceleration in special government programs in the U.S., EU, Southeast Asia, to attract the most talented scientific professionals from around the world. In foreign research centers and high-tech companies employing more than 2.5 million Russian scientists and developers. Each year, the Russian high schools produce about 180 thousand professionals in the sciences and technologies, but, according to statistics, only 12% of them have the potential to work on cutting-edge areas. Given that in the emigration of professional leave, mainly representatives of the most active part of the scientists, the total number of departing looms. To remedy this situation, it is necessary to provide comfortable conditions for the conduct of scientific activities is for the creative part of Russian science. For example, you can create a roster of talented scientists who have achieved significant results in the scientific field, which were recognized at the international level. Participants had to register a number of privileges, which consisted not only in priority funding of research, but in and give them special status in Russian society, which they do not get in any other country. This could be a serious argument to induce them to stay and work in Russia. Vladimir Dolgov, CEO of Google in Russia - the internet is not free-standing branch, but reflects economic trends. As the economy returns to normal after the crisis, the Internet also rises. Therefore, increasing amounts of advertising, the number of new projects due to come into the network investment. Russian Internet company finally loudly declare themselves on the world market, for example, went very well placing Mail.ru. If we talk about technology trends, a combination of two of them determine the future direction of development. First, the Internet is increasingly mobile (people go online with a variety of devices), and secondly, the time is valued more expensive. As a result, the audience needs and immediate service. For example, Google has launched an instant search when search results are displayed in the query set. At this saves some seconds, but the scale of humanity, we obtain a very considerable time. For mobile devices, it means the emergence of new technologies enter information, such as voice. All the more power is gaining a new kind of advertising - video ads, which attracts advertisers, previously under-represented on the Internet. These are companies in the consumer sector, for which brand awareness is more important immediate response to the proposal. Vasily Koshelev, president of ACS 'Creation and Development ": - Development of the Russian telecommunications market due to the availability of radio frequencies to private business. In the past, and in the past year, the President spoke about the necessity of conversion of the spectrum. While, under the terms of domestic legislation, the advantage of using frequencies remains with the governmental agencies and departments. Urgently needed new regulatory arrangements that will govern the methods, timing and procedure for conversion. One of the initiators of the draft Federal Law "On the radio spectrum" is the Federation Council. Our company has developed the bill, and a considerable part of it is devoted to the conversion of frequencies. Work on this project has been going on for two years, finally, in the new year is expected of it. If this happens, the telecom market will begin positive change. First, the availability of frequencies will allow operators to increase the range, quality and volume of telecommunications services. In turn, due to competition services will become more accessible to the party, which will lead to an increase in the telecommunications market. These developments, of course, will increase its investment attractiveness, including by strategic foreign investors. Secondly, another aspect of the conversion will be an inevitable increase in demand for new equipment and technologies that are needed for the operation of radio frequencies freed up. Some of the equipment have to be imported, but does not exclude the possibility of its development and industrial production in Russia. Victor Klimovich, an analyst "VTB Capital": - Further developments in the domestic telecommunications market is largely determined by the events of the year, the main of which - the deal Vimpelcom Ltd with Weather Investments, which will set the vector of development for the global telecommunications industry as a whole will begin a global consolidation of companies . Another big deal - the conversion main state-owned operator, the union of "Rostelecom" with interregional companies of "Svyazinvest". As a result, will continue the development of broadband networks, the strengthening of the state operator at the regional cellular markets. But in the short-term transformation in profitability is likely to not be affected. A landmark event will be hosted unified "Rostelecom" on foreign exchanges. Completes the merger of MTS and "Comstar UTS", as a result of their business will be fully integrated. The main intrigue of 2011 - will "Megaphone" Russian operator number 1 in terms of revenue from cellular business, and therefore may increase the level of competition. The operator can aggressively spread their influence by investing in the development of networks and increasing subscriber acquisition costs. There is the potential that the MTS and the "Archive" will meet the tariff reduction. In early December, the Minister of Communications proposed a plan of conversion frequencies for networks 4G. That is, the likelihood is high that the government, military, and business has finally agreed in 2011 to start real action to allocate the frequencies for the construction of networks 4G. Ilya Fedotov, an analyst "Veles Capital": - The last three years ARPU (revenue per subscriber) of mobile operators remained at the same level. This indicates the saturation of the voice market, the growth potential incorporated in mobile internet. Operators covered all the territory of the Russian networks 3G, and we are on the verge of the struggle for Internet users, such as 7-8 years ago when the "big three" took clientele by lowering tariffs on voice. It is therefore possible decline in the value of mobile Internet, while tariffs on which to put it mildly, remain high. An additional feature of starting the fight you can read the data on the Internet to subscribers who are open only to the operators of this year. A separate issue - the creation of four federal cellular operator based on the combined "Rostelecom". Under the plan the reorganization of the holding end in the second quarter of 2011 and has ambitious plans will be implemented. First of all have to fight for customers, but to actively dump the current mobile market - economic suicide. After all, have to invest huge sums in building networks and marketing, return on these investments will be too long. At the same time the "big three" is the possibility of further, albeit small, reduction of tariffs. On LTE so far, Russian subscribers will not see such networks for at least another couple of years. Maxim Savvatin, an analyst at iKS-Consulting: - driver of growth in the cellular market in 2010 has become increasingly popular mobile Internet. This brought up several times sales of USB-modems, and network access to mobile phones. Operators placed an additional burden in the absence of accelerating revenue growth. Already feels slowdown financial performance, although revenue growth so far has remained at 40-50%. Unprofitable for the operator to drive traffic to their networks simple, so in the near future they will try to differentiate them, for example, in applications such as Skype. Its use over 3G results in increased consumption of traffic and reduce the revenue from voice services. Therefore, in the near future you may receive separate billing for high demanding applications. Since the end of this year, gradually began to recover corporate segment of mobile phone users. To intensify the process in 2011, the operators to offer attractive rates and additional services, have tried to optimize their cost. Focusing on European counterparts, the government tries to regulate roaming rates. While it deals only with national roaming, which is not a popular service, you can expect progress and international connections. First, the Russian operators have not exhausted the possibility of reducing tariffs on European routes, and secondly, the authorities will try to lobby for their interests at the international level. So look forward to new, more humane prices.