The commercial success of Sukhoi Superjet question

Yes, one and a half years the company "Sukhoi Civil Aircraft" (GSS) has started delivery of short-range airliner Sukhoi Superjet 100 (SSJ-100). In April 2011 the first production car was the national air carrier of Armenia Armavia. Two months later the second aircraft was handed over to "Aeroflot": last week it made its first commercial flight on the route Moscow - St. Petersburg. The car registration mark assigned RA-89 001. The aircraft entered in a lightweight configuration light - with three toilets and a kitchen pantry-modules instead of four, as it should be in the full version. But this is not the biggest problems is really a breakthrough for the Russian aircraft SSJ-100 project. Especially, GHS promises to May 2013 to replace all the equipment on the Aeroflot machines full, prescribed in the contract. In accordance with "Aeroflot" must acquire 30 aircraft by 2014, and 10 - already in 2011. A little harder. However, this is not quite the same plane, an idea that was presented at the 2004 international air show in Farnborough, UK. As the transformation of engineering designs in iron machine potyazhelela to 3 tons, experts say. In this regard, the consumer may have changed the properties of SSJ-100, particularly on fuel consumption. That means he will lose in competitiveness relative to its current foreign 'classmates »- Embraer and Bombardier. In the GSS believe that the discrepancy stated specifications does not play a dramatic role. "In the world there and there were no aircraft construction project that would not change during the design and subsequent manufacture, - said the official representative of SSS Olga Kayukova. - Even the weighted SSJ-100 is easily the closest competitor Embraer ». "The experience of operating an airline Armavia has already shown that fuel consumption is at an acceptable level, which allows the aircraft to be guaranteed to be competitive, - said Oleg Panteleyev, head of research at" the airport ". - It is better than their foreign counterparts, though less than was promised, "Aeroflot". So the SSJ-100 will certainly be refined in order to reduce structural weight. " At the same time, the source said, "F." to "Tupolev", during the development of the engine changed, "He was bigger and not so strong as expected, - the expert says. - Initially missed marketers who relied on the layout of the aircraft in 65-80 seats. Under this configuration interior design and developed the entire aircraft and engines for propulsion. Later realized that it would be necessary to lay 80-90-100 seats. But SaM146 turbofan engine production PowerJet - JV French Snecma and NPO "Saturn" - unfortunately, it is impossible to remake a large thrust on the conditions of cooperation with its manufacturers. " In addition, the engine has been certified as such by the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA). Including so SSJ-100 is available in version until light. Delay explained. What accounts for the delay in the launch of a series of SSJ-100, and not whether they will continue to implement plans to prevent GSC? After all, my daughter, "Dry" expects to manufacture and sell a minimum of 152 cars by 2015. Reasons This caused a series of timely access to the SSJ-100, a lot, and all, as usual, the objective. That is the main "problem" of the project, since GSS is unable to control such external factors. "The new aircraft was built in the industry, which suffered chronic underfunding over the past 20 years - says the director of the SEC" Planning. The economy. Management "Vladimir Rodin. - During this time, the domestic aviation industry has not offered any new machine. Respectively, were lost professional engineering and design staff, gradually lost their core competencies in aircraft. " In addition, made itself felt problem management, adds Vladimir Rodin: the project was funded at the level of "Bulava", received any money requested, and the result is not impressive. Consequently, we are talking about the effectiveness of spending, including the budget. In addition, the production rate depends strongly on the SSS supplier performance. Plane by nearly 80% is not "our", experts say. Most of the configuration, including avionics, chairs, etc., comes from abroad, often with delays. Why is not focused on domestic production, thereby reducing the risk of late deliveries? "The Russian aviation industry deepest dip - explains the top-manager" Tupolev ". - The units and systems are available in most enterprises, members of the "Russian Technologies". And they have a quality product and the extent to which the current level is poor. " Finally, oddly enough, to blame modern-tion capacity of the plant in the Com-somolske-on-Amur, which produces the final assembly of machines. The process of modernization and training were simultaneously working on the SSJ-100. In this mode, errors and mistakes were inevitable. The regiment departed customers. Recently, at the SSJ-100 made two tangible impact. In December 2010, the Italian airline Alitalia refused to agreements with "dry" for the purchase of the boards 20-24, estimated at $ 500 million in favor of his main rival - Embraer. And this after a visit by Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi of Sochi, where President Dmitry Medvedev and Vladimir Putin personally showed him the car. In essence, the Alitalia does not have much choice: the crisis in the airline nearly went bankrupt, it urgently needed to update the fleet. A young company as a supplier of GSS civil aircraft is clearly losing Empresa Brasileira de Aeronautica with established manufacturing and business processes. The second blow followed from Kazakhstan, who preferred to replenish the fleet of regional services for the national carrier Air Astana by the same Embraer-190. And further it is logical to build the fleet of sister ships. But the domestic aircraft manufacturers relied on the CIS market, and that choice is always a friendly country to Russia intimidated. Especially that Kazakhstan is a member of the Customs Union. But what could I do Air Astana, which, like Alitalia, short-haul fleet must be modernized aircraft, mostly consisting of old and malovmestitelnyh Fokker 50? Interestingly another. At a time when Embraer carries a creeping expansion in the domestic markets theoretically SSJ-100, a Russian plane may get some items right under Brazil. All post-sale management of the project involved a specially crafted Russian-Italian joint venture Sukhoi SuperJet International (51% owned by Alenia Aeronautica, 49% - a "Dry"). According to Olga Kayukova, in January, GSS has received an order for 15 aircraft plus an option for 5 cars for the Mexican Interjet. The contract value is estimated at $ 650 million so far, however, SSJ-100 was delayed, competitors proliferated. Already tested a similar class of Chinese and Japanese liner ARJ21 MRJ. It is true that Asian designs are far from complete, however, the pace is impressive. In any case, it is clear that the capacious Chinese market for SSJ100 will be closed. The benefits of failure. In the full commercial success of the project, many experts do not believe. "The cost of the machine is $ 36 million and has already exceeded the original bid price at around $ 28 million" - says a source in the considerations of "Tupolev". Thus, at the point of profitability of the project is unlikely to happen. At the same time, experts doubt that GHS will release within the stated number of machines. "Make it better and cheaper than the other, not putting money before in the industry 20 years - a kind of utopia, - said Oleg Panteleyev. - Miracles do not happen, Russia must catch up with the leaders, and therefore the ability to reach the level of output of 60-70 aircraft per year - a project-mongering. " All the more so that production capacity assembly area and GSS provider Rybinsk engine "Saturn" are in development and is directly dependent on the rate of funding for their refurbishment, adds Alexey Komarov, "B" Saturn "say that even now can produce up to 26 sets of engines per year, however, to be released in accordance with the production program GHS for 3 years to invest 9.3 billion rubles in addition to the investment in plant, which has already been made from the budget. " At the design stage to obtain the iron of the machine by 2008, according to official data, it spent $ 1.4 billion in spite of the ambiguity of the results in commercial terms, the benefits to Russia of the SSJ-100 project are already being felt quite . Several industrial sites rearmed, to which, as noted in the SCAC, spent at least 200 million euros. Modernization of production, not least was associated with the project SSJ-100. "You can have different attitudes to what is being done on civilian aircraft production, which is always issued only armored, - said Vladimir Rodin. - But the fact that it is the only project in decades, implemented in hardware. Due to resource Mikhail Pogosyan. Would not have been his efforts - there would be no SSJ-100. " It is also the first global project of Russia, which was designed at once to a digital format, "and from" - it is no secret that there is still some basic working tools of CB are the drawing board and pencil. So obtained solid experience to advance digital techniques in other CB United Aircraft Company. Explicit achievement and a breakthrough in the domestic aircraft industry is a global implementation of various innovative systems on board - not the individual parts, as before, but complex. Not least of the possible impact of the project implementation in the company assign GSS experience, which will be purchased in advance machinery to overseas markets. Comparative characteristics of the Superjet 100 competitors Machine Country Length, m Height, m ​​Wing span, m capacity, the person Maximum takeoff weight, maximum range of tones, th miles Maximum altitude, thousands of feet Cruising speed, km / h Superjet 100 Russia 26,4-29,9 10.3 27.8 78-98 42,3-49,5 4,5-4,6 12.5 840 Embraer-190 Brazil 36.2 10.3 28.7 108 51.8 4.3 12.5 890 Bombardier CRJ900/1000 Canada 36,2-39,1 7,1-7,5 24,9-26,2 88-100 38-4 2,4-2,8 12 , 5827 ARJ21 China 33,5-36,4 8.4 27.3 70-110 43,6-47,2 3.7 12.6 724-148 (AN-158) Ukraine 29.1 8.2 28.9 70-80 41.5 3.6 12.2 800-870 Tu-334, Russia 31.3 9.4 29.8 102-138 47.9 4.1 11.1 820 Mitsubishi Regional Jet90ER Japan 35, 8 10.0 30.9 86-96 41.5 2.6 na 830 Comparison of Superjet 100 competitors